Alain Guillot

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Stock Market Recap — November 10, 2026

Stock Market Recap — November 10, 2026: Hot Inflation Sends U.S. and Canadian Stocks Lower

Daily Market Review | United States & Canada | Tuesday, November 10, 2026 | AlainGuillot.com

Wall Street’s powerful Monday rally came to an abrupt halt Tuesday as a hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation report renewed concerns about rising interest rates.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.3%, the S&P 500 lost approximately 0.4%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.7%.

Canadian stocks also retreated. The S&P/TSX Composite dropped 275.81 points, or approximately 0.76%, weighed down by weakness in the basic materials sector.

The main catalyst was the October Consumer Price Index (CPI), which showed consumer prices rising 0.4% from September, exceeding economists’ forecast of 0.3%.

Although inflation slowed from September’s 0.6% monthly increase, the higher-than-expected reading strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates in December.

Technology stocks faced additional pressure. Nvidia fell more than 5% amid reports of an investigation involving CEO Jensen Huang, while AI company Anthropic moved forward with plans for an initial public offering seeking a reported $1.4 trillion valuation.

Oil and gold prices also declined, adding pressure to Canadian resource companies.

The central story of November 10: Inflation remains a major challenge for financial markets, and investors are reassessing the outlook for interest rates, technology valuations, and economic growth.

1. How the Major Stock Indexes Performed

U.S. & Canadian Stock Market Performance

Tuesday, November 10, 2026 | Daily Change

Dow Jones -0.30% -157.86 points
S&P 500 -0.38% -29.01 points
Nasdaq Composite -0.74% -187.26 points
S&P/TSX (Canada) -0.76% -275.81 points
Dow Jones Industrial Average -0.30%
S&P 500 -0.38%
Nasdaq Composite -0.74%
S&P/TSX Composite (Canada) -0.76%
Market Selloff: U.S. and Canadian stocks declined after hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data. The Nasdaq fell 0.74%, while Canada’s S&P/TSX Composite lost approximately 0.76%.
November 10, 2026 closing performance. Red bars represent losses. Bar lengths are proportional to the S&P/TSX Composite’s 0.76% decline. Percentages are rounded. Source: November 10 U.S. and Canadian market closing figures.

Percentage changes calculated from the closing figures supplied, rounded to two decimals. Red bars represent losses.

IndexClosing levelPoint change
Dow Jones Industrial Average52,231.89−157.86
S&P 5007,520.93−29.01
Nasdaq Composite25,065.88−187.26
S&P/TSX Composite36,170.45−275.81

All four major indexes declined.

The Nasdaq’s weakness reflected renewed selling pressure in technology stocks, particularly Nvidia.

Canada’s TSX experienced the largest percentage decline among these four indexes, as falling commodity prices weighed on resource companies.

The reversal followed Monday’s strong gains, when the Dow surged more than 1,100 points and the TSX advanced more than 650 points.

The contrast illustrates how quickly investor sentiment can change when new economic information arrives.

2. U.S. Inflation Comes in Hotter Than Expected

U.S. Inflation: Hotter Than Expected

October 2026 Consumer Price Index | Month-over-Month Change

October Actual +0.4% Above expectations
October Forecast +0.3% Economists’ consensus
September Actual +0.6%
October Actual +0.4%
October Forecast +0.3%
Inflation Surprise +0.1 percentage point
Inflation Takeaway: U.S. consumer prices rose 0.4% in October, exceeding economists’ 0.3% forecast. Inflation slowed from September’s 0.6% monthly increase, but the upside surprise increased concerns about higher interest rates.
CPI month-over-month changes. Bar lengths are scaled relative to September’s 0.6% increase. October actual: 0.4%. October forecast: 0.3%. September actual: 0.6%. Source: November 10, 2026 inflation report figures supplied for the newsletter.

October’s monthly inflation was 0.1 percentage point above expectations, but below September’s 0.6% increase.

The U.S. Consumer Price Index rose 0.4% in October, exceeding economists’ expectations of 0.3%.

The report was disappointing because inflation remains a major consideration for Federal Reserve policy.

However, the details deserve careful interpretation.

September’s CPI increased 0.6%, meaning the October reading represented a slowdown in monthly price growth.

In other words, prices continued rising, but at a slower pace than the previous month.

Why investors reacted negatively

Financial markets respond not only to economic data but also to how that data compares with expectations.

Economists expected monthly inflation of 0.3%.

The actual reading of 0.4% suggested that inflationary pressures were proving somewhat more persistent than anticipated.

That raised concerns that the Federal Reserve may need to maintain a restrictive monetary policy.

The report also lacked annual inflation figures because last year’s government shutdown limited the available comparison data.

Without those annual figures, investors have less information for assessing the broader inflation trend.

The important distinction: Inflation slowed compared with September, but it did not slow as much as economists expected.

3. Federal Reserve Rate Hike Expectations Rise

Federal Reserve set to cut interest rates again as post-election uncertainty grows | Euronews

Tuesday’s inflation report reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at its December meeting.

According to the market commentary supplied, traders now overwhelmingly anticipate a 25-basis-point increase.

Some investors are considering the possibility of a larger, 50-basis-point hike.

Federal Reserve Governor Chris Waller reportedly indicated openness to a larger increase, reinforcing expectations of tighter monetary policy.

Why higher interest rates matter

Higher interest rates influence the economy through several channels.

They increase borrowing costs for consumers and businesses.

They can make mortgages, car loans, and corporate financing more expensive.

They also affect stock valuations.

When interest rates rise, investors can earn higher returns on certain fixed-income investments, potentially making stocks less attractive.

Technology companies can be particularly sensitive because much of their valuation may depend on profits expected years into the future.

Higher interest rates reduce the present value of those expected future earnings.

The challenge for the Fed

The Federal Reserve must balance inflation control with economic growth and employment.

Last week’s stronger-than-expected employment report showed the U.S. economy adding 165,000 jobs in October.

That suggests the labor market remains relatively resilient.

Combined with persistent inflation, strong employment could give policymakers more room to maintain higher interest rates.

However, the Federal Reserve has not yet made its December decision, and additional economic data could change expectations.

4. Nvidia Falls More Than 5% as CEO Investigation Continues

Nvidia chips make gains in training largest AI systems, new data shows | Reuters

Nvidia shares continued declining Tuesday, falling more than 5%.

The decline followed Monday’s loss of more than 4%, extending a difficult period for one of the world’s most important artificial intelligence companies.

Investors are responding to reports that Nvidia’s board is investigating matters involving CEO Jensen Huang and a personal relationship that has attracted national-security allegations.

According to the supplied reports, Huang acknowledged marital infidelity, while questions have been raised about the alleged intelligence connections of another person involved.

Those allegations remain allegations; the supplied material does not establish espionage or wrongdoing.

Why Nvidia is particularly vulnerable to uncertainty

Nvidia plays a central role in the global AI industry.

Its advanced processors are used to train and operate artificial intelligence models.

The company has benefited enormously from the rapid expansion of AI infrastructure.

However, Nvidia’s success has also created high expectations.

Investors are sensitive to developments that could affect its leadership, reputation, access to international markets, or future growth.

The company also faces uncertainty surrounding possible restrictions on new data center construction following the U.S. midterm elections.

For investors, Nvidia’s decline demonstrates how company-specific controversies can combine with broader economic concerns to produce substantial stock-price volatility.

5. Anthropic Moves Ahead With Its $1.4 Trillion IPO Ambitions

Anthropic Files Confidential IPO Papers, Setting Stage For Potential Record-Breaking AI Listing

While Nvidia faced selling pressure, another major AI company attracted attention for a different reason.

Anthropic reportedly began its IPO roadshow and released updated filing materials Tuesday.

The company is seeking a valuation of approximately $1.4 trillion, according to the supplied financial reporting.

This would represent one of the most ambitious public-market valuations in the AI industry.

Why the timing is significant

The planned offering comes during a period of unusually high volatility in technology stocks.

Last week, semiconductor companies experienced steep losses as investors questioned the sustainability of AI infrastructure spending.

Some major investors have also reportedly expressed concerns about valuations in the private AI market.

Despite these challenges, Anthropic is moving forward with its public-market ambitions.

The valuation question

A $1.4 trillion valuation reflects extraordinary expectations about future revenue, market share, and profitability.

Investors considering such an offering would need to evaluate the company’s growth potential alongside its operating costs, competition, and capital requirements.

The broader question is whether AI companies can generate enough sustainable earnings to justify the enormous amounts of capital being invested in the industry.

Artificial intelligence may be transformative, but even transformative businesses can become risky investments when expectations are exceptionally high.

6. Canada: TSX Falls as Materials Stocks Weaken

200 Bay St, Toronto, ON M5J 2J2 – Regus Royal Bank Plaza | LoopNet Canada

Canada’s S&P/TSX Composite declined 275.81 points Tuesday, closing at 36,170.45.

That represented a loss of approximately 0.76%.

The basic materials sector was a major source of weakness.

Canada’s stock market has significant exposure to mining and resource companies, making it sensitive to changes in commodity prices.

Why materials stocks declined

Gold prices fell sharply Tuesday, creating a challenging environment for precious-metals producers.

Oil prices also declined, potentially weighing on energy-related businesses.

In addition, concerns about higher U.S. interest rates can influence commodity markets and investor demand for resource stocks.

Although Canada’s economy differs from that of the United States, the two countries’ financial markets remain closely connected.

Changes in U.S. monetary policy can affect Canadian borrowing costs, currency markets, and investment flows.

Tuesday’s decline demonstrated that Canada’s market can experience substantial weakness even when its technology exposure is relatively limited.

7. Oil Prices Extend Their Decline

Energy Market Update

Tuesday, November 10, 2026

December WTI crude

US$86.04

−US$0.81

Approximate daily change

−0.93%

Oil prices continued declining Tuesday.

The December U.S. crude contract fell $0.81 to $86.04 per barrel.

Brent crude also declined approximately 1%, according to the supplied market report.

Energy prices have been under pressure as investors evaluate the outlook for the conflict involving Iran and its implications for global supply.

What falling oil prices mean for Canada

Lower crude prices can benefit consumers and businesses by reducing fuel and transportation expenses.

However, they can also hurt Canadian oil producers by reducing revenue and potentially squeezing profit margins.

This creates a complicated situation for Canada’s economy.

Lower energy costs may help inflation, but weaker oil prices can reduce investment and earnings in Canada’s energy sector.

Investors must therefore consider both the benefits and disadvantages of falling crude prices.

8. Gold Prices Fall Sharply

Gold Futures

December contract · November 10, 2026

US$4,030.20

Daily change

−US$84.30

Percentage change

−2.05%

Gold prices experienced a substantial decline Tuesday.

December gold futures fell $84.30 to $4,030.20 per ounce, a decrease of approximately 2.05%.

Gold can be sensitive to interest-rate expectations.

When investors anticipate higher interest rates, assets that generate interest may become more attractive relative to gold, which does not pay interest.

A stronger U.S. dollar can also put pressure on gold prices, although the supplied information does not establish whether the dollar strengthened Tuesday.

For Canadian investors, falling gold prices can affect mining companies and gold-focused exchange-traded funds.

However, individual mining stocks also depend on production costs, reserves, management decisions, and operational performance.

9. Canadian Dollar Weakens Against the U.S. Dollar

Canadian Dollar Performance

Value of C$1 in U.S. cents

Monday, Nov. 9

70.81¢

Tuesday, Nov. 10

70.52¢

Daily change

−0.29 US¢

The Canadian dollar weakened Tuesday, trading at 70.52 U.S. cents compared with 70.81 cents Monday.

That represents a decline of approximately 0.41% against the U.S. dollar.

For Canadian investors holding U.S. equities, a weaker Canadian dollar can partially offset losses in U.S.-dollar-denominated investments when their value is converted into Canadian dollars.

Conversely, a stronger Canadian dollar can reduce the Canadian-dollar value of those investments.

Currency movements therefore represent an important consideration for Canadians investing internationally.

10. Corporate Earnings: CoreWeave and Quantum Computing Stocks

CoreWeave’s NVIDIA GB300 NVL72 instances deliver 6.5x faster AI inference, powering trillion-parameter models and real-time reasoning at scale.

CoreWeave (CRWV)

The Nvidia-backed cloud infrastructure company is scheduled to report earnings after Tuesday’s closing bell. Investors will be watching AI computing demand, infrastructure spending, revenue growth, and financing requirements.

QBTS Stock: $550M Deal Accelerates Gate-Model Roadmap

D-Wave Quantum (QBTS)

Investors are looking for evidence of commercial demand for quantum computing, customer adoption, and progress toward profitability.

This Quantum Computing Stock May Be Closer to a Breakout Than You Think

Rigetti Computing (RGTI)

The company’s earnings will provide another opportunity to assess progress in quantum computing technology, research spending, and commercial development.

Although most major third-quarter earnings reports have already been released, several important technology companies remain on the calendar.

CoreWeave, D-Wave Quantum, and Rigetti Computing are among the companies scheduled to report after Tuesday’s market close.

These companies operate in industries attracting significant investor attention and speculative capital.

However, their long-term investment potential depends on their ability to convert technological progress into sustainable commercial results.

Actual earnings results were not included in the supplied information, so they are not evaluated here.

11. What Investors Should Watch Next

Following Tuesday’s decline, several developments could influence markets over the coming days.

  • Federal Reserve policy: Will policymakers favor a 25-basis-point rate increase or consider a larger move?
  • Inflation trends: Will upcoming economic data confirm that inflation is slowing?
  • Nvidia: Will the reported investigation create lasting governance or business consequences?
  • Anthropic IPO: Will investors accept the company’s proposed $1.4 trillion valuation?
  • AI infrastructure: Will proposed data center restrictions affect capital spending plans?
  • CoreWeave earnings: Will demand for AI computing services justify continued investment?
  • Quantum computing: Will corporate results demonstrate meaningful commercial progress?
  • Canadian commodities: Will gold and oil prices stabilize after Tuesday’s declines?
  • Canadian dollar: Will currency weakness continue affecting international investment returns?

These developments will help determine whether Monday’s rally was the beginning of a sustained recovery or simply a temporary rebound.

12. The Biggest Investment Lesson of November 10

Tuesday’s market decline illustrates the importance of expectations in financial markets.

Inflation slowed from September’s 0.6% monthly increase to 0.4% in October.

Under normal circumstances, slower inflation might be considered encouraging.

However, investors expected an even larger slowdown.

Because the actual result exceeded expectations, stocks declined.

This demonstrates that financial markets are forward-looking.

Prices often reflect what investors believe will happen, not simply what has already occurred.

For long-term investors, this creates both risks and opportunities.

A company can report strong results and still experience a falling stock price if expectations were too optimistic.

Similarly, a company can report disappointing results and see its shares rise if investors had expected something worse.

The challenge is to distinguish between temporary changes in sentiment and lasting changes in business fundamentals.

Successful investing requires understanding not only the quality of a business, but also the expectations already reflected in its stock price.

Conclusion: Inflation Reclaims the Spotlight

Tuesday, November 10, 2026, reminded investors that inflation remains one of the most powerful influences on financial markets.

U.S. stocks declined as the October CPI report exceeded expectations and strengthened forecasts of a Federal Reserve interest-rate increase in December.

The Nasdaq fell approximately 0.7%, while the Dow and S&P 500 also finished lower.

Canada’s S&P/TSX Composite declined 275.81 points, weighed down by weakness in the materials sector.

Nvidia experienced another substantial decline, Anthropic moved forward with its ambitious IPO plans, and investors prepared for earnings reports from CoreWeave and quantum computing companies.

Oil and gold prices fell, while the Canadian dollar weakened against the U.S. dollar.

The day’s events demonstrated how closely connected inflation, interest rates, commodity prices, and stock valuations have become.

For long-term investors, the best response to uncertainty is not to predict every market movement, but to maintain a diversified portfolio, understand the businesses they own, and remain disciplined when market expectations change.

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