| ๐ Alain’s Holdings โ May 20, 2026 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Symbol | Name | Price | Change | Change % |
| VOO | Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 681.57 | +6.94 | +1.03% |
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ Trust | 713.15 | +11.62 | +1.66% |
| XIU.TO | iShares S&P/TSX 60 ETF | 50.58 | +0.64 | +1.28% |
| โฌ Short Position | ||||
| WHR | Whirlpool Corporation | 41.51 | +0.75 | +1.84% |
The bull is back โ
and Nvidia just fed it
After three straight losing sessions, Wall Street staged a powerful reversal. Iran diplomacy crushed oil. Airlines soared. Target delivered its biggest beat in years. Then Nvidia reported after the bell โ and made the case for the AI decade in one earnings call.
After the bell ยท Nvidia Q1 FY2027 results
Nvidia crushes it โ Q2 guide of $89โ$93B dwarfs expectations
Q1 Revenue
$81.62B
vs $79.19B exp โ
Adj. EPS
$1.87
vs $1.77 exp โ
Data Center
$75.2B
Gross margin 75%
Q2 Guide
$89โ$93B
vs $87.4B exp โ
Major indices โ closing prices
S&P 500
7,432.90
โฒ +1.08%
Streak snappedDow Jones
50,025
โฒ +1.31% (+650 pts)
Back above 50KNasdaq
26,174
โฒ +1.17%
Tech leadsRussell 2000
2,791
โฒ +1.27%
Broad rallyCommodities & rates
Today’s biggest movers
UAL ยท United Airlines
United Airlines
The S&P 500’s best performer of the day. Iran diplomacy progress drove oil sharply lower โ a direct lifeline for carriers whose fuel bills spiked 56.4% in March to $5.06B. Delta (+9.39%) and Southwest (+6.29%) followed close behind. U.S. jet fuel hit $3.13/gallon in March; every dollar off crude materially improves sector margins.
TGT ยท Target
Target
Biggest revenue beat since November 2021: $25.44B (+6.7% YoY), beating estimates by 4%. Same-store sales rose 5.6% โ the first positive comp in five quarters. Digital sales +8.9%, traffic +4.4%. Full-year guidance raised to +4% sales growth. CEO Michael Fiddelke: “Our work is just beginning.” Combined with Monday’s Home Depot beat, the consumer is holding.
NVDA ยท Nvidia (regular + after-hours)
Nvidia
Gained 1.73% during the session, then surged ~5% after hours on a massive beat: $81.62B revenue (+77% YoY), EPS $1.87, data center $75.2B, gross margin held at 75%. Q2 guidance of $89.18โ$92.82B crushed the $87.4B consensus. The AI capex supercycle โ powered by $725B+ in 2026 hyperscaler spending โ is not slowing. Blackwell is in full ramp. Vera Rubin samples are already in customer hands.
GOOGL ยท Alphabet / Google I/O
Alphabet
Google I/O delivered major AI moves: new TPU 8i & 8t chips, Gemini 2.5 Ultra launched, and a sweeping AI-powered Search overhaul unveiled. Alphabet gained as investors weighed its competitive AI positioning โ but also the margin pressure of matching Nvidia’s build pace with in-house silicon. The AI arms race has a new front: chip independence.
XLE ยท Energy sector
Energy stocks
The only major S&P 500 sector to close red โ and by design. Brent falling $7.40 is great for the economy but painful for oil producers. Exxon, Chevron, and ConocoPhillips all fell. The Iran-diplomacy trade reversal played out cleanly: what’s bad for energy is a relief valve for everything from airlines to manufacturing to household budgets.
DAL / LUV ยท Airlines broadly
Delta +9.39% ยท Southwest +6.29%
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed at G7 in Paris that China would use its influence to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. That single diplomatic development โ combined with Trump’s “final stages” comment โ was enough to reprice the entire airline cost structure. The sector is among the most oil-sensitive in the market.
Three themes defining today
Oil breaks โ airlines fly
Iran talks in “final stages,” China pledges to help reopen Hormuz. Brent drops $7.40 โ its steepest one-day fall since the war started. Every industry carrying an oil-cost burden got a relief trade today.
Nvidia confirms the AI decade
$81.6B Q1, $89โ93B Q2 guide. Not a blip โ a structural demand surge powered by $725B in 2026 hyperscaler capex. Blackwell ramping, Vera Rubin in customers’ hands. The AI cycle is intact and accelerating.
Consumer: cautious but spending
Target’s first positive comp in five quarters + Home Depot’s beat paint a consumer who is selective, value-conscious, and still showing up. Walmart tomorrow is the final piece of the puzzle.
Week in review โ May 18โ20
What to watch Thursday & beyond
Today’s takeaway
Today answered the two biggest questions hanging over this market: Is the AI cycle still intact? Yes โ Nvidia’s Q2 guide of up to $93 billion proves it. And is the geopolitical ceiling about to lift? Possibly โ if Iran diplomacy holds, oil falls below $100 and the bond market finally gets the relief it needs. The bull case is back on the table.
โ Market recap analysis, May 20, 2026
The reversal: The Dow climbed 1.31%, fueled by strong momentum and retook the 50,000 level. The S&P 500 added 1.08% and the Nasdaq rose 1.17%. Energy (โ2.08%), Staples (โ0.52%), and Health Care (โ0.07%) were the only declining sectors. The Globe and Mail
Nvidia: Nvidia reported Q1 revenue of $81.62 billion vs $79.19 billion expected, adjusted EPS of $1.87 vs ~$1.77 expected, data center revenue of $75.2 billion, and gross margin of 75%. Q2 revenue guidance came in at $89.18 to $92.82 billion, well above the $87.36 billion consensus. Shares jumped roughly 5% after hours. MoneyCheckThe Globe and Mail
Airlines: United Airlines Holdings was the S&P 500’s top performer at +10.01%, followed by Delta Air Lines at +9.39% and Southwest at +6.29%. Trump told reporters talks were in their “final stages,” while the immediate drop in crude eased pressure on fuel-sensitive industries โ U.S. airlines saw fuel expenses spike 56.4% in March, reaching $5.06 billion. The Globe and MailThe Sunday Guardian
Target: Target posted earnings and revenue that beat Wall Street expectations, with net sales growing more than 6% year-over-year. Same-store sales jumped 5.6% โ its first positive same-store sales number in five quarters. Net sales hit $25.4 billion, a 6.7% increase from a year ago, and Target raised its full-year sales outlook.
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