Alain Guillot

Life, Leadership, and Money Matters

Market recap, Monday, May 18, 2026

Market recap, Monday, May 18, 2026

๐Ÿ“Š Alain’s Holdings โ€” May 18, 2026
Symbol Name Price Change Change %
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF 678.91 -0.53 -0.08%
QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust 705.88 -3.05 -0.43%
XIU.TO iShares S&P/TSX 60 ETF 49.82 -0.49 -0.97%
โฌ‡ Short Position
WHR Whirlpool Corporation 39.47 -0.54 -1.35%

Position change

Today I sold my position in VRT at $342.12. I bought it at 271.10. That gave me and appromate gain of 26% in 10 weeks.

Stock Market Recap โ€” May 18, 2026
Stock market recap  ยท  Monday, May 18, 2026

Tech stumbles,
utilities surge

A $400B utility megadeal, a 52-week high on Treasury yields, and renewed Iran war anxiety split the market โ€” the Dow alone closed green as semis led a second straight day of tech losses.

Dow +0.32% S&P 500 โˆ’0.07% Nasdaq โˆ’0.51% $110 Brent crude

Major indices โ€” closing prices

S&P 500

7,403

โ–ผ โˆ’0.07%

2nd decline

Dow Jones

49,686

โ–ฒ +0.32% (+160 pts)

Only index up

Nasdaq

26,091

โ–ผ โˆ’0.51%

Tech drag

Russell 2000

2,775

โ–ผ โˆ’0.65%

Yield pressure

Commodities, crypto & rates

Brent Crude

$110/bbl

โ–ฒ +1.10%

Gold

$4,551

โ–ผ โˆ’0.23%

Bitcoin

$76,356

โ–ผ โˆ’2.13%

10-yr Yield

4.60%+

52-week high

Bond market warning: The 10-year Treasury yield hit its highest point in a year above 4.60%. The 20-year and 30-year climbed to levels not seen since 2007 (~5.13%). Traders have now fully priced out any Fed rate cuts in 2026 โ€” new chair Kevin Warsh inherits a precarious macro picture.

Today’s biggest movers

D ยท Dominion Energy

Dominion Energy

+14.3%

NextEra confirmed a $66.8B all-stock acquisition โ€” the largest utility deal in history. The combined entity will be the world’s largest regulated electric utility serving ~10 million customers across FL, VA, NC & SC. The real driver: AI data centers are consuming power faster than the grid can supply it. PJM wholesale power costs rose 75.5% YoY in Q1 2026.

NEE ยท NextEra Energy

NextEra Energy

โˆ’5%

The acquirer fell on dilution fears โ€” a textbook all-stock deal reaction. NextEra shareholders will own 74.5% of the combined company. Dominion investors receive 0.8138 NEE shares per D share. Longer term, analysts see this as a transformative AI-infrastructure bet.

MMM ยท 3M

3M

+3.74%

Led the Dow to its lone green close. A broad rotation from high-multiple tech into defensives and industrials lifted 3M, with 20 of the Dow’s 30 components finishing in positive territory despite the tech headwinds.

CRM ยท Salesforce

Salesforce

+3.18%

Bucked the tech-selloff. Strong Q4 earnings momentum and AI product optimism around its Agentforce platform carried the stock higher despite BofA reinstating at “underperform” with a street-low $160 target โ€” a bearish call the market largely shrugged off.

STX ยท Seagate Technology

Seagate Technology

โˆ’7.5%

Biggest single-stock drop of the day. At JPMorgan’s TMC conference, Seagate’s CEO warned new factories will “take too long” to meet surging AI storage demand โ€” a stark reminder that the memory capacity crunch is real and deepening. Micron (MU) dragged down ~6% in sympathy.

REGN ยท Regeneron

Regeneron Pharmaceuticals

โˆ’11%

Worst biotech drop of the session after its Phase 3 melanoma treatment failed to achieve statistical significance in a late-stage trial. The setback erased weeks of gains and weighed on the broader XBI biotech ETF. Macy’s rose ~4% after Berkshire Hathaway revealed a small stake.

CAT ยท Caterpillar

Caterpillar

โˆ’4.08%

The Dow’s biggest single drag despite the index finishing positive. Tariff concerns and industrial headwinds weighed, a continuation of the pressure Caterpillar has faced all month as oil-driven inflation clouds the global growth outlook.

NVDA ยท Nvidia

Nvidia

โˆ’2.92%

Extended Friday’s losses ahead of its Q1 FY2027 earnings report on Wednesday. Wall Street is forecasting ~$78.8B in revenue (+77% YoY). KeyBanc raised its price target to $300 (from $275). The earnings print Wednesday is the most anticipated of the year โ€” and could reset the entire AI narrative.


Three themes shaping the week

01

AI needs power โ€” now

The NextEra-Dominion deal is the clearest sign yet that AI infrastructure demand is reshaping the U.S. power grid. Data centers account for 94% of PJM’s projected 32-gigawatt peak load growth through 2030.

02

Yields at multi-year highs

The 10-yr yield above 4.60% and the 20/30-yr at 2007 highs are compressing valuations on high-multiple growth stocks. Rate cuts are fully off the table. The bond market is the story of May 2026.

03

Iran & the Hormuz clock

Trump said Iran must “get moving FAST.” The IEA warned oil inventories have only weeks left. With Brent at $110, G7 finance ministers in Paris called reopening the strait “of the utmost importance.” The market is watching every headline.

What to watch this week

Wed Nvidia (NVDA) Q1 FY2027 earnings โ€” consensus $78.8B revenue. The most important earnings report of 2026.
Wed Target (TGT) earnings โ€” key consumer spending read amid oil-driven inflation
Thu Walmart (WMT) earnings โ€” bellwether for how consumers are absorbing energy price shock
All wk Iran negotiations & Strait of Hormuz updates โ€” any ceasefire signal could move markets significantly
All wk Treasury yield trajectory & Kevin Warsh’s first signals as Fed Chair

Today’s takeaway

“Opening the Strait of Hormuz and bringing the conflict to a lasting end are of the utmost importance in mitigating the impact on the economy.”

โ€” Kyriakos Pierrakakis, Eurogroup President & Greek Finance Minister, G7 Paris, May 18, 2026

The big picture: The S&P 500 shed 1.24% to end at 7,408.50, while the Nasdaq Composite slipped 1.54% to 26,225.14 and the Dow Jones fell 537 points (โˆ’1.07%) to close at 49,526. Despite the selloff, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq finished the week up ~0.3%, and the Dow was down just 0.05% for the week. KiplingerCNBC

Why it sold off: Treasury yields hit nearly one-year highs and crude oil rose, stalling the tech rally. Fed rate-hike odds climbed to 45% for 2026 โ€” up from just 1% a month ago. The Trump-Xi meeting ended with no major deals, and analysts flagged the unsustainable move in tech stocks starting to break down. The Globe and MailTheStreet

Key movers: Microsoft surged on Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square stake disclosure, while Nvidia, Tesla, Amazon, Oracle, and Alphabet fell up to 4%. Intel retreated more than 6%, AMD fell 5.7%, and Micron dropped 6.6% as investors took profits after the AI-fueled rally. Yahoo FinanceKiplinger

Fed transition: Jerome Powell’s tenure as Fed Chair ends today, with Kevin Warsh set to take over amid historic FOMC division.

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